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New Poll Confirms Big Emanuel Lead over Garcia

(Chicago) – A new survey says Mayor Rahm Emanuel holds a 15 point lead over Cook County Commissioner Jesús “Chuy” García.

The poll, commissioned by the Chicago Retail Merchants Association, has Emanuel and Garcia at 51–36% with undecided voters at 12%.

The survey, conducted by We Ask America of 1,374 likely voters on March 16 with a margin of error of ±3%, comes on the heels of a March 6 Chicago Tribune poll that had nearly identical results, showing an Emanuel lead 51-37%.

The new We Ask America poll reveals that when undecided voters were pushed to make a decision, they chose Emanuel by a 2-1 ratio.

Emanuel outpaces Garcia among men, women and every ethnic category except Hispanics, but Emanuel has equally strong leads among likely African-American, Asian, and Caucasian voters.

“Our second poll indicates Mayor Emanuel is widening his lead among likely Chicago voters,” said Rob Karr, President, Chicago Retail Merchants Association, whose group has made no endorsement in the race. “When voters are asked about their perception of which candidate would be better at creating new jobs in Chicago, Emanuel outpaces Garcia in a significant manner overall.”

Over the weekend Garcia, who is backed primarily the Chicago Teachers Union, snagged a key labor endorsement from SEIU Illinois Council that will provide bring a large infusion of cash and ground troops to his campaign. Karr noted that the impact of the endorsement still needs to be measured.

“[I]t remains to be seen if the endorsement by SEIU will have a major impact on this race in the final weeks of this campaign,” Karr said.

Meanwhile, Garcia’s campaign has made a $766,045 TV and radio ad buy over the next three weeks, according to Aldertrack.

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